Unfortunately, the 11AM update pushed the track of the eye of Irene westward a bit, suggesting a secondary landfall to take place in NJ, just north of Atlantic City. This, of course, would be very bad news for Long Beach Island which could now be on the east side of the eye wall. The hurricane at that time would be a very weak category 1 storm, but still, it would be better for the NJ coast if the storm's eye stayed offshore.
This new track, if correct, would not have too much impact on our forecast area. Perhaps slightly higher winds, for a slightly longer period. I still think that wind intensity will decrease fairly quickly the further one is away from the shoreline. But a 12 hour period of occasionally heavy rain, and 20-40 mph sustained winds (with higher gusts) look likely.
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